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Personal Finance

When Was the Highest Gold Price Ever?

While gold futures and gold spot prices eased up heading into the final quarter of the year, industry experts say values are expected to continue trending upward into 2025. What does this mean? If you plan to buy gold, you may not want to wait any longer.

What was the highest gold price in history?

Since October 2024, when the gold price reached a record high, it has remained near or above $2,600 per troy ounce.

Recent price increases may be attributed to the following factors:

  • An interest rate cut approved by the Federal Reserve in September
  • Continuing tensions in the Middle East
  • Gold purchases by central banks, particularly China

Looking forward, a weakened dollar, positive economic indicators, and continued demand from international buyers could all continue to boost the value of gold.

With gold forecasts calling for the price to climb into 2025, those interested in purchasing gold may want to act now rather than later.

The highest gold prices ever—adjusted for inflation 

Inflation means that a dollar from a previous year doesn’t have the same value as a dollar today. So while gold prices are currently at historic highs, how does that compare to previous peaks when adjusted for inflation? Let’s find out.

All prices below refer to troy ounces, and inflation-adjusted prices were calculated using the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI Inflation Calculator.

1970: Lowest modern price recorded

Price of gold in 1970 dollars: $34.83

Inflation-adjusted price: $287.49

Before we discuss the highest prices of gold, let’s start with a baseline: the lowest price, which occurred at the beginning of 1970.

The value at that time was roughly the same as the $35 per ounce price set for gold by the U.S. government years earlier. In today’s dollars, an ounce of gold was worth about $287 in 1970.

The gold standard—which pegged the value of the dollar to that of gold—was abandoned in 1971. Since then, gold prices have risen, sometimes dramatically.

1980: Cold War and economic uncertainty

Price of gold in 1980 dollars: $696.75

Inflation-adjusted price: $2,784.36

In February 1980, gold prices surged to nearly $670, which exceeds the current price of gold when adjusted for inflation. The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, a poor economy and global uncertainty helped drive up the price of gold at the start of the 1980s.

2011: Global economic worries

Price of gold in 2011 dollars: $1,855

Inflation-adjusted price: $2,577.84

While the U.S. was coming out of its recession in 2011, a World Gold Council report from July of that year referenced the European debt crisis, rising global inflation and industry supply demands as reasons for the climbing gold price. It topped out in September 2011 at $1,855 an ounce, equaling almost $2,578 today.

2020: COVID-19 pandemic

Price of gold in 2020 dollars: $1,927.15

Inflation-adjusted price: $2,337.78

The COVID-19 pandemic is likely responsible for a surge in gold prices in 2020. The top price in that year occurred in August at $1,927. While the value of gold has experienced some dips since then—most notably in November 2022—post-pandemic inflation and uncertainty seem to have helped buoy prices and push them to today’s new highs.

How have old prices changed historically?

1980 is the year when gold was most valuable, based on inflation-adjusted prices. However, its value then was only slightly higher than it is now.

In fact, if you look at the inflation-adjusted prices, you’ll see that all figures are in the same ballpark after 1980. When people talk about gold being a hedge against inflation, this is an example of what they are talking about. Despite the inflation rate, gold tends to keep its value over time.

While gold values have historically been stable in the long term, prices can be volatile in the short term. The price of gold changes daily, and there have been steep drops at various times in history.

Here are some examples of how prices dropped after reaching past highs, based on World Gold Council data:

  • 1980-1982: From $696.75 to $315 (decline of $381.75 per ounce)
  • 2011-2014: From $1,855 to $1,221 (decline of $634 per ounce)
  • 2020-2022: From $1,927.15 to $1,649.55 (decline of $277.60 per ounce)

Historically, once prices drop, they either plateau—as was the case from 1983 to 2005—or they begin to rise again.  

What factors influence gold prices?

The price of gold is dynamic and constantly changing in response to multiple factors. These include the following:

  • Strength of the dollar: Historically, gold prices have gone up when the value of the dollar goes down. “When the USD weakens, gold becomes relatively cheaper for holders of other currencies, leading to increased demand,” J.P. Morgan Private Bank says in an online investment report.
  • Interest rates: When rates drop, demand for gold often rises because other savings options become less attractive. This is known as an inverse relationship, and low interest rates are one reason gold prices rose in 2011 and beyond.
  • Supply and demand: Like all commodities, if more people want an item, its price rises. Demand for gold can come from several sectors. Private investors and central banks are common buyers of gold. However, this precious metal is also needed for jewelry, electronics, and in other industrial uses.
  • Geopolitical conditions: Global conflicts and economic turmoil can lead some investors to seek a safe haven for their wealth. Gold is often used because, as illustrated above, it tends to hold its value over time. As a result, demand—and prices—for gold can rise during times of war or other uncertainty.
  • Market speculation: Some investors aren’t interested in owning gold as much as profiting from increased gold prices. They may buy gold futures or other complex securities that will allow them to benefit from an increase in gold prices without buying and holding precious metals for the long term. This type of market speculation can drive up the price of gold.

What does the future hold for gold prices?

Even though gold prices are currently near record highs, industry observers think they will rise even higher next year.

In September 2024, Goldman Sachs Research predicted gold prices will reach $2,700 per troy ounce in 2025. However, in an October podcast, it was stated that the firm had revised its estimate to $2,900 per ounce.

There are three reasons it cites why gold prices could climb next year:

  • Central bank purchases: Central banks have been buying gold in larger quantities since 2022. Goldman Sachs expects this demand to continue next year, especially in light of potential U.S. financial sanctions and the country’s growing debt.
  • Interest rate cuts: After years of high interest rates, the Federal Reserve issued its first cut of the federal funds rate in September, and additional reductions are expected in the coming months. Lower interest rates often mean higher demand for gold.
  • Geopolitical shocks: Goldman Sachs researchers predict gold prices could increase 15% if the U.S. enacts financial sanctions, such as proposed tariffs.

The takeaway for individual investors is that conditions seem to be ripe for gold prices to continue to climb, and experts don’t expect any dramatic drop in value anytime soon.

What you should know about gold price manipulation

Since supply and demand help fuel gold prices, there is a concern that they can be manipulated. Price manipulation could happen when traders artificially drive up demand or suppress prices. Some argue the latter happened in the mid-2000s when a pattern of downward prices was detected in afternoon trading in London.

Large financial institutions and central banks are often questioned for manipulating the price of gold. Other times, smaller investors may place large futures orders to create the illusion of demand, only to cancel their transactions later.

Gold price manipulation can be difficult to detect and prove. However, its threat is another reason why it may be better to buy and hold gold as a long-term investment instead of purchasing in the hope of short-term gains.

Should you invest in gold?

Whether you should invest in gold depends on several factors, including your time horizon, risk tolerance, investment goals, and current portfolio allocations.

Diversification may be one of the best reasons to buy gold. Sometimes, gold can gain value when other investments lose value. For example, global securities dropped 19.46% in 2022, and global bond funds were down 16% during that same year, but the price of gold rose 3%.

A safer strategy may be to buy gold as a long-term investment rather than trying to time the market to make a quick profit on increasing gold prices. In that case, the current price of gold won’t matter as much since, as we’ve noted before, gold tends to hold its value over time. For long-term investors, a gold IRA offers a way to buy gold and get valuable tax benefits simultaneously. Read our guide to the best gold IRA companies to learn more about this investment option and how to get started.